The previous week’s reins were held by the Federal Reserve’s Rate Decision and also the preferred inflation indicator, the PCE Index. With the PCE Index coming in well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, it suggests that rate cuts may be postponed much longer this year than initially anticipated.
Looking ahead, the upcoming week features the CPI and PPI inflation data reports, making for a busy schedule. However, this week’s reports are relatively limited in terms of significant market impact. The most notable releases include Unemployment Data and U.S. Wages, both of which will complement the inflation data to provide a broader outlook on the economy’s trajectory. Additionally, the Consumer Sentiment and Consumer Credit reports may offer insight into consumer conditions amid a changing administration and ongoing inflation. Notably, inflation has had a strong impact on markets such as eggs and livestock poultry, which have reached all-time high prices in the past decade.
PCE Index
The PCE index rose 0.3% last month, the government said Friday, to mark the biggest increase since last April. The increase in inflation in the past year was at a seven-month high of 2.6%, up from 2.4% in the prior month.
FOMC Rate Decision
In a widely anticipated move, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee left unchanged its overnight borrowing rate in a range between 4.25%-4.5%.
Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
• 15-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.04% with the current rate at 6.12%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.01% with the current rate at 6.95%
MND Rate Index
• 30-Yr FHA rates saw a decrease of -0.08% for this week. Current rates at 6.46%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw a decrease of -0.07% for this week. Current rates at 6.48%
Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 207,000 compared to the expected claims of 228,000. The prior week landed at 223,000.
What’s Ahead
CPI and PPI reports are set to release tomorrow along with Consumer Sentiment and Consumer Credit reports.