The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator — the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index — released under delayed conditions, but it was within expectations. Next week will be another Federal Reserve Rate Decision, and it is expected that the Federal Reserve will reduce rates at least one more time. The optimism among the broader market has been showing that multiple sectors that seem unphased by the administrative decisions and current political climate.
PCE Index
The PCE Index came in at 2.8% in November on an annualized basis. According to data from the Commerce Department, core PCE, which excludes food and energy, also stood at 2.8% on an annual basis. It rose 0.2% over the previous month.
GDP
The economy expanded at a zippy 4.4% annual pace in the third quarter of 2025, an updated estimate showed, to keep the U.S. on track to score the fifth straight year of above-average growth. Gross domestic product, the official scorecard of the economy, was revised up from the original 4.3% reading, the government said Thursday. It was the strongest quarter of growth in two years.
Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
- 15-Year FRM rates saw an increase of 0.06%, with the current rate at 5.44%
- 30-Year FRM rates saw an increase of 0.03%, with the current rate at 6.09%
MND Rate Index
- 30-Year FHA rates saw an increase of 0.10%, with current rates at 5.85%
- 30-Year VA rates saw an increase of 0.10%, with current rates at 5.87%
Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 200,000 compared to the expected claims of 208,000. The prior week landed at 199,000.
What’s Ahead
The FOMC Rate Decision and delayed Core PPI data will be the largest items for the upcoming week.